Vietnam bloggers face trial for ‘anti-state propaganda’

“It is a sign of the times that a journalist in Burma is writing about a freedom of expression clampdown in a neighboring country, writes Simon Roughneen:

With around 80 political prisoners freed in another amnesty on September 17

Demography driving Arab Awakening’s democratic prospects?

There’s a compelling reason why Tunisia is the Arab state most likely to become a democracy, why Egypt and Libya have “a fighting chance” of transition, why prospects for Yemen and Syria are far less promising and why “there’s no …

May 17, 2011 in Asia, China, Democracy Promotion, Tibet 0

Tibetan democratization upsets Beijing

“It’s been startling to witness mass demonstrations in countries across the Middle East for freedom from autocracy, while, in the Tibetan community, a die-hard champion of ‘people power’ tries to dethrone himself and his people keep asking him to stay …

Military makes the difference to transition prospects

Prospects for democratization in Egypt and Tunisia are “surprisingly good,” writes Alfred Stepan, a leading authority on democratic transitions. But the Egyptian military’s autocratic tendencies and refusal to engage civil society in the transition process give cause for concern, he

Democracy – Syria’s ‘best long-term bet’ or risks ‘Levantine Yugoslavia’?

It has been described as “the largest small country on the map, microscopic in size but cosmic in influence,” encompassing “the history of the civilized world in a miniature form.”

And that’s why the protests in Syria are considerably

February 15, 2011 in Egypt, Middle East and North Africa 1

Egypt: democratic reform or authoritarian adaptation?

The US administration supports the democratic ambition evident in the wave of unrest spreading across the Arab world, President Barack Obama said today, but change must be driven by local actors and circumstances.

“Your aspirations for greater opportunity, for …

The transition paradox: undemocratic actions can generate democratic outcomes

The political upheavals in Egypt and Tunisia have yet to generate a demonstrably democratic transition and there is a serious prospect of authoritarian resilience or restoration in both cases. But if a democratic breakthrough occurs, the experience of earlier transitions

Exciting? Yes. Contagious? No. First make it happen in Tunisia

We should not let the dramatic and exhilarating events in Tunisia cloud a realistic analysis of the prospects for democratization, writes Kamran Bokhari (right), Middle East and South Asia director at STRATFOR. While experts conflate what is happening with

A new chance for Arab reform? But Tunisia’s divided democrats need support

The Tunisian army today fired warning shots over protesters marching on the headquarters of the longtime ruling party founded by ousted President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali.

Several ministers in the new unity government resigned their membership of the former …

A democratic tsunami? No chance

The Arab world is not about to experience a 1989-style democratic contagion. Tunisia’s Jasmine Revolution is a one-off event, writes Arun Kapil, (left) a political science professor at the Catholic University of Paris (Institut Catholique de Paris-FASSE).