February 12, 2011 in Egypt, Middle East and North Africa 0

Egypt’s military ‘will not embrace democracy’

Egypt’s pro-democracy movement has won a major victory – or has it?

Mubarak has gone, and the military has stepped in – as many protesters were demanding. But could this yet be a case of be careful what you wish …

February 11, 2011 in Egypt, Middle East and North Africa 0

‘The revolution has succeeded’?

Tens of thousands of pro-democracy demonstrators today fanned out around Cairo to surround key power centers of the regime, including the presidential palace and the state TV center.

“If they take this building, if it drops to the masses, it …

Since when did democracy = instability?

Democracies are better placed to accommodate political diversity and reconcile conflicting parties, writes Sahar Aziz (left). The upsurge in Egypt confirms that the semblance of stability disguises the inherent fragility and precariousness of authoritarian rule.

Much of the discourse on …

Egypt doesn’t need another pharaoh

The last thing post-authoritarian Arab states need is presidential rule, argue Alfred Stepan (right) and Juan J. Linz. Democracy is more likely to be consolidated and pluralism entrenched in a parliamentary system.

As Egypt’s revolution hangs in the balance, …

Egypt’s opposition must escalate ‘war of attrition’

Whatever the result of Egypt’s democratic uprising, it has reshaped the political mould and defied conventional wisdom, writes Washington Institute analyst Dina Guirguis (right).

Over the past two weeks, the fact that Egyptians of all classes, ideological and religious orientations …

Momentum and mobilization the key to next phase

Don’t rule out a democratic transition in Egypt, writes Temple University’s Sean Yom (left). The regime is resilient but not invulnerable and a combination of sustained mass mobilization, politically coherent opposition and US pressure could yet trigger a genuine transition

Egypt’s ‘dignity revolution’ on the brink

Has Egypt’s democratic insurgency inadvertently resolved the regime’s succession crisis? While the opposition will not secure the regime change many envisaged, a focused and pragmatic strategy can still put an end to the familiar cycle of liberalization and crackdown, writes Kristina

Continuity, chaos or coup – but no regime change, warns Suleiman

Egypt’s pro-democracy opposition has reacted indignantly to vice president Omar Suleiman’s warning that the regime will neither change nor tolerate continuing unrest. But other reformers echoed his view that the current conflict is approaching a tipping point.

Several hundred …

Can fractious opposition agree on strategy?

The history of revolutions indicates that transfers of power occur when the ancien regime loses the will or capacity to govern and the opposition has the coherence, organization and leadership to move into power.

Like any threatened order, Egypt’s government …

Egypt’s opposition faces ‘hard realities’ – and real opportunities

Can Egypt’s democratic movement win the current “battle for momentum”? Would strategic advantage be gained from tactical retreat? And what should the Obama administration be doing?

Today’s huge demonstration confirmed the opposition’s impressive capacity to mobilize, but that is …